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Humanoid Development Timelines

Published: Published on Zhilianhai

What to look for

Milestone typeWhat it proves
DemonstrationA capability exists in a controlled setting
Pilot deploymentThe unit survives a real site
Repeatable taskConsistent output over many cycles
Commercial deliveryA customer accepts and pays
Volume productionRepeatable manufacturing

Reading announcements

  • Distinguish between internal use and external sale.
  • Ask for duty cycle and intervention rates, not just capability clips.
  • Treat timelines without named customers as directional.

Roadmaps change frequently. Track progress against milestones rather than dates.

Information is provided for initial research. Verify specifications, pricing, policies and standards against the original source before making decisions.

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